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These large-cap analyst picks have exhibited an ability to fare better than peers in both up and down markets.

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Nazim Khan| 06-06-12E-mail Article to a Friend
 
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Nazim Khan is Site Editor for Morningstar.in.

Indian equities in the past few years have been highly volatile with the years 2005 to 2009 producing moves in excess of 40% each year for the benchmark Sensex--either way--while stocks moved up about 18% and fell 24% in 2010 and 2011, respectively.

With such volatility, it becomes imperative for mutual funds to be able to navigate both up and down markets well.

Screening for mutual-fund schemes that have shown this ability, we looked for funds that have shown upside- and downside-capture ratios that are better than the category average over the past five-year period.

The upside-capture ratio measures how much of an index's gains a fund achieved in a rising market while the downside-capture ratio similarly shows how much of the index's losses the fund captured on the downside.

A ratio of 100 means the fund has captured all of its index's gains/losses. Thus, the higher the upside-capture the better; the lower the downside-capture ratio the better.

To add another filter of quality, we stipulated the fund must also be positively rated by our analysts--that is, they should have a Morningstar Analyst Rating of Gold, Silver or Bronze.

Morningstar Analyst Ratings are our qualitative view on the fund's ability to outperform peers over the long term. You can read more about Analyst Ratings here.

Here are the funds that came on our search. We have also produced excerpts from the Analyst Report for each fund.

HDFC Equity

Upside-capture ratio (five-year): 98.02

Downside-capture ratio: 82.31

Five-year return (annualised): 8.47%

Morningstar Analyst Rating:

Prashant Jain is one of the best managers in the country. We also see his research-driven investment style as strong and well executed. Over the years, he has seamlessly combined top-down and bottom-up analysis (emphasizing the latter to a great degree) to identify companies with strong balance sheets and business models. Jain pays heed to valuations while picking stocks, freely combining relative and absolute valuation methods.

Read complete Analyst Report

HDFC Top 200

Upside-capture ratio: 103.13

Downside-capture ratio: 89.45

Five-year return: 9.34%

Morningstar Analyst Rating:

In this fund, Jain predominantly invests in stocks from the BSE 200 index. But he has shown immense flair with portfolio positioning; his in-depth research has given him the confidence to take meaningful variances from benchmark weights at both the stock and sector levels. This has resulted in the fund bettering both the benchmark index and the category average over the long haul.

Read complete Analyst Report

Franklin India Flexi Cap

Upside-capture ratio: 94.65

Downside-capture ratio: 88.75

Five-year return: 5.14%

Morningstar Analyst Rating:

The merits of this fund are clear: The investment team is among the best in the industry in our view, anchored here by the presence of an accomplished portfolio manager in K.N. Sivasubramanian, who has been managing this fund since inception in March 2005. Sivasubramanian is one of the longest-serving managers in the Indian industry, with roughly 18 years of experience in portfolio management. Over the years, he has built an impressive track record across a number of funds. The strong stewardship qualities of the fund’s AMC, Franklin Templeton, adds to the fund’s allure.

Read complete Analyst Report

Templeton India Equity Income

Upside-capture ratio: 98.68

Downside-capture ratio: 88.74

Five-year return: 6.85%

Morningstar Analyst Rating:

This fund is managed using a team-based approach under the guidance of Dr. J Mark Mobius. Mobius is a pioneer in emerging-markets investing and leads the Templeton Emerging Markets Research Team, which comprises 30 members. He oversees the investment processes at the group, whereas assistant managers Chetan Sehgal and Vikas Chiranewal are involved in the daily management of this fund. Sehgal and Chinarewal are seasoned investors who are well ingrained in the team’s value investing philosophy. Overall, we are fairly impressed with the caliber and stability of the team.

Read complete Analyst Report

Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity

Upside-capture ratio: 92.90

Downside-capture ratio: 82.46

Five-year return: 7.04%

Morningstar Analyst Rating:

Investors in the fund benefit from a competent manager and a well-executed investment approach. Manager Mahesh Patil took charge of Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund in Nov 2005. From that time through March 2012, he has built an impressive track record, outscoring 89% of the competition on both the return and risk-adjusted return fronts. The fund’s success can be attributed in no small measure to the presence of manager Patil and a deftly implemented investment approach.

Read complete Analyst Report

Add a Comment
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Praveen Devadiga
Aug 7 2012 10:23 PM
It is better to invest in a safe investments like PPF,Gold ETF where u will get more then the above specified returns of 5 years without any headache. I feel the Best fund to invest is SBI Magnum umbrella FMCG which has given a consistent return over a period of time which i feel is a all weather resistant fund.
Nazim Khan
Jun 15 2012 04:56 PM
Mr Kumar: This was the result of a strictly quant-based screen that we ran and we did not actively choose the funds mentioned. As mentioned in the article, we simply ran a search for funds with the criteria of better-than-average upside- and downside-capture ratios (five-year), along with a Morningstar Analyst Rating of Bronze and above.
While IDFC Premier Equity does have a Bronze Analyst Rating, it did not show up on our screen so it must not have had either a better-than-peers upside- or downside-capture ratio.
Regards,
Nazim Khan
Site Editor
Morningstar.in
Arun Kumar
Jun 15 2012 04:49 PM
Morning star has definitely erred by not including IDFC Premier Equity here!
Nazim Khan
Jun 12 2012 01:26 PM
Mr Elangikal: As a policy, Morningstar prohibits its team of journalists/analysts to give individual portfolio advice. I would urge you to read up our detailed Fund Analyst Reports on both funds to have a greater understanding on how each works which may help you decide what would be a better fit (overall, as mentioned above, our analysts have a Gold rating on both, meaning they have the highest conviction in both funds' abilities to outperform their peers over the long term).
WILFRED ELANGIKAL
Jun 12 2012 01:16 PM
If I need to select any 1 fund between HDFC TOP 200 or HDFC Equity for long term investment of 5 to 10 years plus, please advise which one should I invest in?

Currently I invest in HDFC top 200 & HDFC Prudence for long term of 10 years plus, please advise if I should switch all my units from HDFC Prudence to HDFC top 200 or then switch to HDFC Equity where I have no investment currently?

Thanks - Wilfred
Nazim Khan
Jun 11 2012 03:19 PM
Dr. Ganapathy: The performance of HDFC Top 200 and HDFC Equity has been similar over the years but there is a difference between the two funds' investment's objectives. HDFC Top 200 largely restricts itself to its BSE 200 benchmark and large-cap stocks, while Equity may tend to be a bit more volatile as it can tend to take on slightly greater exposure to midcaps. Mr. Ganesh: As mentioned in the article, while zeroing in on "all-weather" funds, we decided to look for funds where both five-year upside- and downside-capture ratios were better than the category's average (we thought three years was too short a timeframe while there might not have been a big enough pool of funds if we had looked for 10-year records). Plus we also added a criteria of a minimum Bronze Morningstar Analyst Rating. Looking for funds with all those filters, these were the only five funds that turned up on our screen and the list is comprehensive. Regards, Nazim Khan Site Editor Morningstar.in
Ganapathy VL
Jun 11 2012 02:23 PM
Sir, HDFC equity and HDFC 200 fund-I think the investment philosophy and pattern are almost similar. So why not one fund among them?. When a marriageable age" ELIGIBLE BACHELOR" interviews with two beautiful girls,he will confused about the choice!!!!!!!! Yours sincerely, Dr V.L.Ganapathy
GANESH RAJAN
Jun 11 2012 01:45 PM
THANKS FOR YOUR INPUTS ON HDFC EQUITY/HDFC TOP 200 & OTHERS WITH ALL WEATHER PROPERTIES. WHAT ABOUT OTHER FUNDS WITH ALL WETHER PROPERTIES? IS THIS THE "COMPREHENSIVE" LIST? AWAIT YOUR FEEDBACK & GUIDANCE. THANKS r ganesh
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